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Nasir El-Rufai: Oil Revenue Leakages, Another Chance For Nigeria

Nasir-El-Rufai2
The Presidential Economic Team of 2003 to 2007 which I was privileged to be a member had a running joke – that the NNPC was an independent federal republic on its own totally separate from and way superior to the Nigeria we all worked for! This joke was our way of criticising the way and manner the NNPC not only sells crude oil as an agent on behalf of the government of the federation as in its enabling law, but even then felt entitled to spend as much of the proceeds of sale as it deemed fit.

The NNPC had begun then to be a law unto itself, outside our national laws and above the constitution, hence our joke. Recent revelations of oil revenue leakages have confirmed that this is a joke that has turned into a macabre reality. Our nation’s finances are in grave danger of becoming zero due to the conduct of a rogue institution that has become more powerful than its principal under Jonathan’s watch.

For a country dependent on oil revenues for most of its income, Nigeria cannot claim to have exercised the closest scrutiny on this vital resource. At least not in recent times. As bad as this gross neglect has been, it is surpassed by the failure to seize the moments that have also been presented to the country in recent times to restore some sanity and integrity to the collection and remittance of revenues. The conversation around the sudden explosion in the fuel subsidy payments from N300bn in 2009 to over N2 trillion in 2011, the protests around the removal of petrol subsidy in January 2012, and the subsequent investigations into the scandal regrettably did not coalesce into a new deal on revenue management or sanctions for the beneficiaries of the obvious fraud!

Another such opportunity to clarify compliance with the constitution, law and due process in the collection and remittance of oil revenues has been presented by the rolling revelations made by brother CBN governor Sanusi Lamido Sanusi. It is a moment the whole country should seize, so that public confidence can be restored in the operations of the NNPC and integrity of the revenue remittance process. But to get there and understand the issues clearly, let’s summarise the constitutional position, the law and the factual contentions.

Our constitution is very clear in sections 80, 81, 82 and 162 in requiring that all revenues are to be paid into the federation account for distribution to various tiers of government in accordance with the provisions of the constitution and the revenue allocation act. No institution or person can spend a kobo on fuel subsidy or pipelines repairs from these revenues without the funds being first paid into the federation account, and then subjected to due appropriation by the National Assembly. Any spending outside this lawful framework is a case of an agent not accounting honestly for proceeds of sale to a principal. In everyday language, that illegal conversion is called theft, pure and simple, and in violation of the constitution. No one, whether it be NNPC or the Jonathan spin-masters should be allowed to obscure this clear legal position.
Now, what are the facts surrounding the latest case of non-remittance of federation revenues?

In a letter to the president in September last year, Sanusi expressed concerns about the non-remittance of $49.804 billion, monies due to the federation account from crude oil sales. Until December when the letter became public, neither the presidency nor the NNPC responded to the issues, believing like every other instance of corruption allegation, the matter will die a natural death over time. Internally, within the Jonathan administration, no clear action was found to have been taken to cross-check the veracity of CBN’s concerns about the NNPC owing the federation account some N8 trillion.

The NNPC demurred only when these concerns became public, insisting it was not owing the federation account. When all the parties – CBN, NNPC and the Federal Ministry of Finance – met to reconcile accounts, it was agreed that indeed some funds had not been accounted for and may need further reconciliation. The outstanding sum amounted to $10.8bn (according to NNPC and Ministry of Finance on one side) or $12bn, according to the CBN. Further to this, the NNPC then came up with another afterthought – that it had spent the $10.8bn on gasoline and kerosene subsidy payments, repairs of vandalised pipelines and operational costs. It did not appear that anyone believed the NNPC, on its use of the money, its right to withhold the money in the first place and its initial denial of owing the federation account.
The CBN is obviously one of those not buying the NNPC’s explanation. This week, the apex bank raised the figure of non-remitted funds to $20bn, including the $12bn outstanding from the reconciliation. The balance includes $6bn worth of crude oil NNPC shipped for the NPDC its upstream subsidiary, and another $2bn from “third-party” financing.

What has been lost in the emotions unleashed by these series of disclosures are the substance of the issue, and the caveats inserted by the CBN governor. His letter to the president and public statements are drawing attention to the non-remittance or non-repatriation of funds to the Federation Account. There was no claim then that these monies are missing, at least not yet. That will be beyond the CBN’s brief. But as the banker to the government, the CBN is within its mandate to declare what sums it has received in relation to the funds expected. The onus is thus on the NNPC to explain why these monies have not been remitted or why they cannot be remitted, and point to the laws that permit them to so act. Anything other than this is admission of theft of federation account proceeds and the 36 states and their local governments should act to recover the amounts, if the Jonathan administration does not.
It is my view that the NNPC have to quickly refund the amounts or prove the numbers wrong. It cannot take comfort on the brittle ground that the sums said to have not been remitted have fluctuated. It has not convincingly explained why it held on to monies belonging to the Federation Account, and why it used the monies for its own purposes without the lawful authority of appropriation by the National Assembly. Every kobo not credited to the country or not properly accounted for by an agency of the government violates the constitution and the law.

I do not believe that we have sunk so low or that our moral prisms have so contracted as to consider $10bn – nearly a third of the annual federal budget – as too puny to worry about. A kobo of public funds not properly accounted for should bother us, because a person that can steal a penny will steal billions if opportunity presents itself. We should rather aspire to live in a country whose revenues do not leak, leading us free to concentrate on value-for-money in government investments and expenses.

The Federation Account belongs to the federal, state and local governments, and the quantum of the balances it contains should concern every Nigerian. Many of the 36 states are rightly concerned that the explanations offered imply that the NNPC can practically shortchange them at will. The conduct of the NNPC thus distorts the revenue allocation formula, already weighted too much in favor of the Federal Government. It must be in the interest of the FGN and the NNPC not to allow the perception to fester that the NNPC has indeed become a state within a state, protected and reinforced in its law breaking by a corrupt and benefitting Jonathan government.

As a minimum, that would entail thorough scrutiny of the NNPC accounts which have not been audited since 2005, if only to avoid legal entanglements with state government who are at liberty to sue for the non-remitted funds. The National Assembly has to ask the tough questions regarding the legality of the strategic alliance agreements between the NNPC/NPDC and Atlantic Energy and other fly-by-night ‘indigenous operators’ with not track record other than connections to the Villa. It is a serious matter when a CBN governor goes public with the charge that “these agreements merely serve to transfer revenue due to the Federation into private hands” – yet another clear, more serious case of theft of federation revenues by a private firm, facilitated by the NNPC.

Citizens should put pressure on all elected officials that amidst these contentions, Nigeria will emerge with a transparent, rigorous and effective oil revenue collection and remittance system. While awaiting passage of the much delayed Petroleum Industry Bill, the NNPC should in the interim be compelled to remit all funds first, and submit verifiable claims for reimbursements later, after due appropriation by the National Assembly. In the meantime, we should thank for the CBN and its courageous governor for providing the facts and figures, and the opportunity to introduce real transparency in the very opaque oil revenue remittance regime of Nigeria. The ball is now in our court to ensure that this case of financial malfeasance is not swept under the Jonathanian table!

Article written Nasir Ahmad El-Rufai and originally published on his facebook page…

Oil Revenue Leakages: Another Chance for Nigeria By Nasir Ahmad El-Rufai

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By Nasir Ahmad El-Rufai

elrufaiThe Presidential Economic Team of 2003 to 2007 which I was privileged to be a member had a running joke – that the NNPC was an independent federal republic on its own totally separate from and way superior to the Nigeria we all worked for! This joke was our way of criticising the way and manner the NNPC not only sells crude oil as an agent on behalf of the government of the federation as in its enabling law, but even then felt entitled to spend as much of the proceeds of sale as it deemed fit. The NNPC had begun then to be a law unto itself, outside our national laws and above the constitution, hence our joke. Recent revelations of oil revenue leakages have confirmed that this is a joke that has turned into a macabre reality. Our nation’s finances are in grave danger of becoming zero due to the conduct of a rogue institution that has become more powerful than its principal under Jonathan’s watch.

For a country dependent on oil revenues for most of its income, Nigeria cannot claim to have exercised the closest scrutiny on this vital resource. At least not in recent times. As bad as this gross neglect has been, it is surpassed by the failure to seize the moments that have also been presented to the country in recent times to restore some sanity and integrity to the collection and remittance of revenues. The conversation around the sudden explosion in the fuel subsidy payments from N300bn in 2009 to over N2 trillion in 2011, the protests around the removal of petrol subsidy in January 2012, and the subsequent investigations into the scandal regrettably did not coalesce into a new deal on revenue management or sanctions for the beneficiaries of the obvious fraud!

Another such opportunity to clarify compliance with the constitution, law and due process in the collection and remittance of oil revenues has been presented by the rolling revelations made by my brother CBN governor Sanusi Lamido Sanusi. It is a moment the whole country should seize, so that public confidence can be restored in the operations of the NNPC and integrity of the revenue remittance process. But to get there and understand the issues clearly, let’s summarise the constitutional position, the law and the factual contentions.

Our constitution is very clear in sections 80, 81, 82 and 162 in requiring that all revenues are to be paid into the federation account for distribution to various tiers of government in accordance with the provisions of the constitution and the revenue allocation act. No institution or person can spend a kobo on fuel subsidy or pipelines repairs from these revenues without the funds being first paid into the federation account, and then subjected to due appropriation by the National Assembly. Any spending outside this lawful framework is a case of an agent not accounting honestly for proceeds of sale to a principal. In everyday language, that illegal conversion is called theft, pure and simple, and in violation of the constitution. No one, whether it be NNPC or the Jonathan spin-masters should be allowed to obscure this clear legal position.

Now, what are the facts surrounding the latest case of non-remittance of federation revenues?

In a letter to the president in September last year, Sanusi expressed concerns about the non-remittance of $49.804 billion, monies due to the federation account from crude oil sales. Until December when the letter became public, neither the presidency nor the NNPC responded to the issues, believing like every other instance of corruption allegation, the matter will die a natural death over time. Internally, within the Jonathan administration, no clear action was found to have been taken to cross-check the veracity of CBN’s concerns about the NNPC owing the federation account some N8 trillion.

The NNPC demurred only when these concerns became public, insisting it was not owing the federation account. When all the parties – CBN, NNPC and the Federal Ministry of Finance – met to reconcile accounts, it was agreed that indeed some funds had not been accounted for and may need further reconciliation. The outstanding sum amounted to $10.8bn (according to NNPC and Ministry of Finance on one side) or $12bn, according to the CBN. Further to this, the NNPC then came up with another afterthought – that it had spent the $10.8bn on gasoline and kerosene subsidy payments, repairs of vandalised pipelines and operational costs. It did not appear that anyone believed the NNPC, on its use of the money, its right to withhold the money in the first place and its initial denial of owing the federation account.

The CBN is obviously one of those not buying the NNPC’s explanation. This week, the apex bank raised the figure of non-remitted funds to $20bn, including the $12bn outstanding from the reconciliation. The balance includes $6bn worth of crude oil NNPC shipped for the NPDC its upstream subsidiary, and another $2bn from “third-party” financing.

What has been lost in the emotions unleashed by these series of disclosures are the substance of the issue, and the caveats inserted by the CBN governor. His letter to the president and public statements are drawing attention to the non-remittance or non-repatriation of funds to the Federation Account. There was no claim then that these monies are missing, at least not yet. That will be beyond the CBN’s brief. But as the banker to the government, the CBN is within its mandate to declare what sums it has received in relation to the funds expected. The onus is thus on the NNPC to explain why these monies have not been remitted or why they cannot be remitted, and point to the laws that permit them to so act. Anything other than this is admission of theft of federation account proceeds and the 36 states and their local governments should act to recover the amounts, if the Jonathan administration does not.

It is my view that the NNPC and partners have to quickly refund the amounts or prove the numbers wrong. It cannot take comfort on the brittle ground that the sums said to have not been remitted have fluctuated. It has not convincingly explained why it held on to monies belonging to the Federation Account, and why it used the monies for its own purposes without the lawful authority of appropriation by the National Assembly. Every kobo not credited to the country or not properly accounted for by an agency of the government violates the constitution and the law.

I do not believe that we have sunk so low or that our moral prisms have so contracted as to consider $10bn – nearly a third of the annual federal budget – as too puny to worry about. A kobo of public funds not properly accounted for should bother us, because a person that can steal a penny will steal billions if opportunity presents itself. We should rather aspire to live in a country whose revenues do not leak, leading us free to concentrate on value-for-money in government investments and expenses.

The Federation Account belongs to the federal, state and local governments, and the quantum of the balances it contains should concern every Nigerian. Many of the 36 states are rightly concerned that the explanations offered imply that the NNPC can practically shortchange them at will. The conduct of the NNPC thus distorts the revenue allocation formula, already weighted too much in favor of the Federal Government. It must be in the interest of the FGN and the NNPC not to allow the perception to fester that the NNPC has indeed become a state within a state, protected and reinforced in its law breaking by a corrupt and benefitting Jonathan government.

As a minimum, that would entail thorough scrutiny of the NNPC accounts which have not been audited since 2005, if only to avoid legal entanglements with state government who are at liberty to sue for the non-remitted funds. The National Assembly has to ask the tough questions regarding the legality of the strategic alliance agreements between the NNPC/NPDC and Atlantic Energy and other fly-by-night ‘indigenous operators’ with no track record other than connections to the Villa. It is a serious matter when a CBN governor goes public with the charge that “these agreements merely serve to transfer revenue due to the Federation into private hands” – yet another clear, more serious case of theft of federation revenues by a private firm, facilitated by the NNPC.

Citizens should put pressure on all elected officials that amidst these contentions, Nigeria will emerge with a transparent, rigorous and effective oil revenue collection and remittance system. While awaiting passage of the much delayed Petroleum Industry Bill, the NNPC should in the interim be compelled to remit all funds first, and submit verifiable claims for reimbursements later, after due appropriation by the National Assembly. In the meantime, we should thank the CBN and its courageous governor for providing the facts and figures, and the opportunity to introduce real transparency in the very opaque oil revenue remittance regime of Nigeria. The ball is now in our court to ensure that this case of financial malfeasance is not swept under the Jonathanian table!

 

 

Bishop Kukah Blames Bad Governance And Corruption For Air Mishaps

Air disasters in Nigeria have been attributed to corruption by the Catholic Bishop of Sokoto Diocese, Most Rev. Matthew Hassan Kukah. Kukah revealed this why speaking at Abuja during a memorial symposium and launch of a N500million for the 60 students of Loyola Jesuit College, Abuja who lost their lives in the 2005 Sosoliso Air Crash in Port Harcourt. The launch was for the “60 Angels Memorial Staff Residence”

He revealed that the air disasters were because of bad governance and corruption as funds meant to be used for the development of the country were being embezzled

“What we are reaping is what the hand of fate has dealt us, namely, a tale of tragedy, misfortune and disaster which has come to be known as governance in Nigeria,” 

“The tragedy with our situation is that we are unable to learn lessons because of the ‘C’ word – corruption” he said.

He also highlighted that  power and transportation are the major factors used to squander the nation’s resources. He also warned that the aviation industry is driven by precision technology and the culture of ‘managing’ is one which must be left behind.

Vendors Beat Up By Prison Staff For Refusing To Give Them Free Newspapers

Vanguard Newspaper reports that some prison officials in Ibadan stormed the Forestry Research Institute armed with guns in chase of a vendor, Mr. Adewale Moronkeji who had run into the premises for cover.

They eventually caught up with Adewale Moronkeji and Kola Ola and beat them mercilessly. When they were done beating the men, they bundled one of them to the Police HQ at Eleyele Ibadan as they accused the man of wanting to attack the controller.

Vanguard reports that guards at the entrance of the controller’s residence had been pressurizing the neswpaper vendors to hand them newspapers for free, a request which the vendors declined.

In anger, the controller’s driver had seen the vendors at Idi-Ishin junction not far away from the controller’s residence and ordered them to leave in the place.

One of the vendors, Moronkeji had asked the driver if they were constituting nuisance to him.

According to the other vendor, Kola Ola, the angry driver jumped down from the vehicle and started beating him.

Not fulfilled with the treatment meted out to the vendors Wednesday, the prison officials stormed the Forestry junction, yesterday, where they met Moronkeji and his friend, beat them properly and whisked one of them to Eleiyele police headquarters.

The  State’s Police Public Relations Officer, DSP Olabisi Clet?Ilobanafor said she is unaware of any newspaper vendor in detention despite the fact that the Chairman of the Newspaper Distribution Association of Nigeria, Mr. Babatunde Abimbola and his men saw Moronkeji in one of the station’s dark room with swollen eyes and legs.

The newspaper agents stormed the Correspondents’ Chapel at Mokola, yesterday, to protest the inhumane treatment shown their colleagues as they pleased for the release of their man.

Bianca Ojukwu Is New National Leader Of APGA

All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) has a new National Leader in the person of Mrs. Bianca Ojukwu, the widow of the former National Party Leader, Chief Dim Odumegwu Ojukwu.

This was revealed via a communique read by the new APGA National Chairman, Chief Maxi Okwu and signed by the acting National Publicity Secretary, Stanley Chira after a national executive committee (NEC) meeting in Abuja.

“The National Executive Committee, NEC, of our great party reconfirms and further resolves the earlier decision taken on February 16, 2013 and on March 22, 2013, at the one year anniversary of the demise of our late leader and icon, Dim Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu.

That he remains our symbol and leader the fact of his transit to glory notwithstanding. His wife and next of kin, Iyom Bianca Odumegwu-Ojukwu is hereby adopted as the living embodiment of his ideals. She shall in his stead be acknowledged as Leader.
She is aware of the existing situation and she gave her consent, and we adopted her. We still respect Governor Peter Obi as one of our leaders, and he is also aware of this development.” Okwu read.

Torres Resumes Full Training, Poised To Return Against City

Spaniard, Fernando Torres resumed full training for his club, Chelsea on Wednesday from a knee ligament injury which had kept him away from football since the 19th of January.

It is expected that Torres will return to action next Saturday when his side takes on Manchester City in the Etihad stadium for their FA Cup Fifth round tie.

Chelsea takes on Newcastle United in a  premier league fixture tomorrow but it seems too soon for Torres to return to the starting line up.

Chelsea takes on West Brom this coming Tuesday but Torres might only start from the bench to help boost his fitness.

torres2

Jonathan Appoints Special Advisers & Chief Executives For NTA, FRCN, NAN & SURE-P

President Goodluck Jonathan on Thursday approved the appointment of Mr Ima Niboro as the Managing Director of the New Agency of Nigeria (NAN).

This is contained in a statement by the Special Adviser to the President on Media and Publicity, Dr Reuben Abati, in Abuja.

Abati said the President also approved the appointment of Mr. Sola Omole as the Director-General of the Nigerian Television Authority, as well as those of five others.

“The President further approved the appointment of Alhaji Ladan Salihu as Director-General of the Federal Radio Corporation of Nigeria.

“He also approved the appointments of retired Gen. Martin Luther-Agwai as Chairman of SURE-P and Mrs. Tanwa Olusi as the Deputy Chairman,’’ he said.

The President’s spokesman also said Jonathan equally approved the appointments of Mrs. Fidelia Njeze as Special Adviser, NEPAD and Sen. Suleiman Ajadi as Special Adviser on National Assembly Matters.

He said the President directed that all the appointments were with immediate effect.

Abati said further that the appointments were made in furtherance of efforts to continually strengthen Jonathan’s administration on all fronts.

NAN reports that Niboro is the immediate-past Special Adviser to President Jonathan on Media and Publicity.

Luther-Agwai, until now, was the Deputy Chairman and Acting Chairman of SURE-P, while Njeze is the current Nigerian Ambassador to Switzerland.

Emmanuel Emenike Returns To Training

by Sammy Wejinya

Nigeria international striker, Emmanuel Emenike has returned to training following the injury he picked up last week.

The big striker was injured during Fenerbahce’s Turkish Super Lig game against Konyaspor on January 27.

The 26-year-old was forced to leave the pitch at the Sukru Saracoglu Stadyumu in the 80th minute of the contest against Konyaspor with Mehmet Topuz taking his place.

Fenerbahce’s medic subsequently ruled that the attacker will be out of action for up to three weeks and he is now on the recovery trail.

Emenike has now begun light training as well as work in the gym and spoke to the club’s official website to discuss the state of his recovery.

“Today (Thursday), I started to run. I feel very good to have begun the process of returning to the team. That makes very happy,” he told www.fenerbahce.org.

Emenike has scored eight league goals in 17 league appearances for Fenerbahçe this season.

Edo State Teachers Kick Against Competency Test

Scores of teachers in Primary and Secondary Schools in Edo on Thursday held a rally to protest against the government’s plan to organise a competency test for all teachers in the state.

The teachers, who stormed Auchi, Etsako-West Local Council of Edo, rejected the call by the government to subject them to any form of test.

The News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) reports that the government had fixed Fed. 8 as date for the competency test for all primary and secondary school teachers across the state.

The competency test is coming on the heels of the sack of 836 teachers by the government in 2013, due to falsification of age and certificate forgery, among others.

Speaking on behalf of the teachers, Mr Mike Uhunwangho, Chairman, Nigeria Union of Teachers (NUT), Edo Chapter, said that teachers would not participate in the competency test.

He said the protest was being carried out across the state, adding that teachers would not be subjected to the test.

“We are unanimously rejecting the call by the Edo State Government to have us write a fresh competency test to determine our suitability for teaching jobs in the state.

“We have directed all the teachers not to attend any form of competency test nor accept any letter from anybody inviting them for the test,’’ he said.

Uhunwangho said that teachers who had spent years in the profession, cannot be subjected by the government to the competency test.

The NUT chairman said that instead of being subjected to the test, the government should embark on training and re-training of teachers, to enable them update their knowledge and skills, for effective teaching.

“Government needs to train teachers and equip them with new skills and ideas, to enable them to be able to perform their duties adequately,’’ he said.

Robbers Attack Taraba State University

NAN

Suspected armed robbers on Thursday attacked the Taraba State University (TSU), carting away cash and other valuables worth millions of naira.

The institution’s Vice Chancellor, Prof. Muhammed Sani, confirmed the incident to newsmen in Jalingo.

Sani said that the robbers, numbering 14, invaded the campus at about 2 a.m. after over-powering the security guards.

He said that about 20 offices, including those of the vice chancellor, registrar, bursar and cashier were burgled by the hoodlums.

“While the operation was going on, one of the security men, who succeeded in freeing himself, alerted some of the students who forced the hoodlums to flee,” he said.

The vice chancellor, however, assured that the incident would not disrupt normal academic activities.

He appealed to the state government to fence the university and ensure improved security surveillance around the area to avoid a recurrence of the incident.

Meanwhile, the Police Public Relations Officer in the state, ASP Joseph Kwaji, also confirmed the incident, adding that investigations had begun.

“Yes, it is confirmed that armed rubbers attacked the university but we will give you the details later,” Kwaji said.

Tunde Leye: Nigerian Professional Politician’s League

Credit: Tunde Leye
Credit: Tunde Leye

The Nigerian Professional Politician’s League is in full swing now. The pre-season games of 2012 and 2013 are over and we’re already seeing brisk business being done in the transfer window. Very soon, the sweaty game, the hard tackles, the dribbles, the goofs and the superb goals will be all over us. The players are kitting up and coming out of the dressing rooms already.
Our very own Arsene Wenger, General Buhari who has won the trophy once before and has played in the top flight but he has since been unable to win any trophies (even being content with making champions league position without winning the league under Abacha) might just be participating again. Unlike Monsieur Wenger who has stayed true to Arsenal in the years without a trophy however, the General has moved to whatever political contraption he feels can deliver him the opportunity to compete in the top flight over the years, from ANPP to CPC and now APC. Like his Arsenal counterpart, he believes in spending economically to achieve quite significant results. Financial discipline is one of his strongest points.
Former perennial winners Manchester United have been in shambles this season under new coach David Moyes, even though he has had money to buy players and essentially the same players Sir Alex Fergusson won the league with in the previous season. Olusegun Fergusson Obasanjo also won the Nigerian Professional Politician’s League with the same PDP resoundingly over the years, until Obasanjo somehow designed (or shall we say fate designed) that Goodluck Moyes Jonathan would become the head coach of the PDP. Like Fergusson, Obasanjo is no longer involved in running the party, wielding influence behind the scenes. Fergusson has also been a bit more verbose after his retirement, even writing a book, while Obasanjo has only managed a series of letters (I’m discounting his civil war books).
And just like Moyes sacked Fergusson’s backroom staff and brought in his own (not a bad move in its own right), Jonathan moved in and removed Obasanjo’s backroom staff. However, it seems that Jonathan is plagued with the same ailment Moyes has – he seems not to know what to say, lacks the charisma to say it in an inspiring manner and generally make decisions that have not allowed his club deliver results their supporters are used to, losing ground to competitors who dared not dream of beating them in previous contests. Is Jonathan leading PDP to mid-table positions the way Moyes has done with Manchester United? That remains to be seen. As Moyes brought in an unneeded Feliani same way Jonathan brought in and stuck with for far too long an unneeded Tukur. Now he’s brought in Muazu who is expected to deliver magic as Mata is expected to in Manchester United. We watch with bated breath. However, it must be said that just like Manchester United has had and overcome rough patches in their history, PDP also has had serious crises which they have overcome and come out stronger in the past. This history counts and might still give them the edge eventually. The other truth is that Fergusson handed over a team fraught with problems to Moyes, but Moyes has managed to amplify those problems and make them his own. Same way Obasanjo, contrary to what his lieutenants like to paint, handed over a Nigeria whose many years of problems were far from resolved to Jonathan. However, Jonathan has managed to make those problems seem his own.
Then we have Bola Pellegrini Tinubu. Manchester City was called the noisy neighbors by the Manchester United faithful and no one can argue that the then Action Congress with the likes of vociferous Lai Mohammed and now El-Rufai in APC are very noisy indeed, with their speech dominated by “oppose, condemn, disagree,” and other choice words synonymous with these. But just like Pellegrini did with the City side, Tinubu has succeeded in transmuting the noisy neighbors ACN into APC which is a real threat to the PDP. He has gone around shopping for star players and even taken some from PDP to beef up his team. However, one wonders if he will be as good a man manager as Senor Pellegrini is. For star studded teams are fraught with the problem of the egos of the stars that make them up. Tinubu of the Action Congress whose word was law would find that General Muhamadu Arsene Buhari still wants to win trophies and will not take directives from him in the APC. The stars he has brought into the team like Atiku, Saraki and Wamako might just form a player’s cabal against him and kick the coach out to either become the coach or accommodate a coach who is more amenable to their aspirations. Also, how he will manage to run a party that includes Atiku as a chieftain and El-Rufai who called Atiku all sorts of uncouth names in his book remains to be seen. And all these players want to be the Man of the Tournament, I wonder who will step down for who and how they will manage this in the APC and still focus on the task of wresting the trophy from the PDP. We wait to see.
One also wonders if the All Progressives Congress will be like Manchester City. Manchester City did not win the trophy the first time they challenged for it after spending truckloads of money to get the star players. They however did not rest on their oars, they just kept trying until they won and have kept at it until they are easily the best team in Europe now. Will APC have this same tenacity to stay together and keep challenging if they don’t win the center in 2015? Will their star players stay or will they take transfer opportunities and decamp to the PDP? It remains to be seen.
Final note on this. Only players, the referee and in some cases the fans in the stadium affect the outcome of a match. These are the people that make actual effort to be part of the game. Staying at home and watching the match from the safety of your television means you do not influence the outcome of the matches in any way. So, ensure you are an active participant either as a member of a political party or a registered voter in the coming elections. The same way fans are ruthless with players when they play rubbish, ensure you put your politicians under pressure. Discuss the way the politicians play and analyze the play and be involved in moulding opinion on the play as you do for your favorite teams in the premiership.
The referee can make or mar the game. Our own referee INEC must ensure that teams play according to the rules and employ all the practical methods to monitor the play and deal decisively and impartially with players that flout the rules. Use your yellow and red cards when and where necessary. Referees have to be as fit and work twice as hard as the players to monitor the game. Our INEC cannot afford to be lazier than the political parties they intend to regulate. Also, it shouldn’t be like the Nigerian League where the home team provides the welfare of the referee. Let’s benchmark against the premiership where the referee is truly independent of the teams and is therefore in a better position to be objective.
May the best team win.
__________________________________

Tunde Leye @tundeleye is a fiction writer. He believes that the stories written form a priceless resource that is the basis of society, all the other arts (film, music, theatre, visual arts) and hence he is committed to telling stories out of Africa that show it as it was, is, and is going to be.