By Tunde Leye
Trust is the most fundamental infrastructure enabling trade and economic activity in any
society.
It powers credit, enables people who may not have otherwise had the opportunity
to enter commerce, reduces transaction costs and ensures that energies are devoted to
actual productive activity in the economy. And while physical infrastructure is important in
an economy, establishing a trust infrastructure is even more crucial.
If Nigeria is to experience any serious growth that can scale, in an efficient manner, building this trust infrastructure must be at the very top of the priority list of the new government. Currently, the cost of establishing trust before doing transactions is so high in Nigeria, and the process is so cumbersome that it inhibits, rather than facilitate economic activity.
The reality, of course, is that Nigeria is an extremely low-trust society. History has a role to
play in this. Up to 30% of those sold into slavery in the area that would become Nigeria
during that terrible trade were kidnapped and sold by people they knew. This ensured that
cultures developed low trust as a defence mechanism. Couple this with the fact that in
modern Nigeria, the repercussions for breaking societal trust, whether by individuals or
government, is minimal, and the reasons for how the society has developed such low trust
levels become clear. Yet, this has hampered scaling the economy in the most meaningful
ways.
We often like to think this trust is some ephemeral thing that cannot be objectively and
structurally established. But this is far from the truth. Careful investment, in a systematic
manner, can very quickly build this trust infrastructure and ensure that the consequential
costs for damaging this trust infrastructure are very high for individuals, corporates, and
governments to preserve it. Four building blocks are necessary to do this.
The first is establishing a centralised, secure and digitised identity management system for
the country. Currently, the most comprehensive identity management system we have in
Nigeria is the National Identity Number (NIN) issued by the National Identity Management
Commission (NIMC), which had 98.7 million identification numbers issued as of 1 May 2023.
However, there are various pockets of identity management data managed by other bodies
such as the Bank Verification Number (BVN) managed by the Nigerian Interbank Settlement
Scheme (NIBSS), the Voter Register managed by the Independent National Electoral
Commission (INEC) and the Company Registration Data by the Corporate Affairs Commission
(CAC) amongst others which are not within the NIN framework, and which have no linkages
to it. And where identity management is fragmented like this, it limits its usefulness as the
rails of a trust infrastructure that can become the springboard for economic growth.
The second block, which the first must be layered on, is an intuitive mapping of locations in
the country and ensuring that any identity captured in the ID management system is linked
to this mapped location. Nigeria’s addressing system is dated, and while postcodes exist,
they are limited in use to urban centres. Once you move into the fringes of these urban
centres and/or rural areas, the addressing system breaks down completely, and you are
forced to rely on less precise descriptive methods that are usually off the mark. A proper,
detailed mapping of the country is needed, well-planned to ensure that a uniform system
that works for our peculiarities is adopted and used nationally. And crucially, identity must
be linked to this location mapping.
The third block is a behaviour linkage. Today, the behaviour data of Nigerians are in silos.
Financial behaviour is in accounts, with potential BVN linkage, but this is rarely done in
practice. Insurance behaviour is even less visible. Tax payment behaviour is also in a silo.
Company ownership. Traffic and driving behaviour. Credit behaviour. There are many more,
but these examples show crucial behaviours delinked from the identity management
framework, which means it is hard to reward good behaviour and penalise bad behaviour.
This removes a powerful tool in the trust infrastructure – efficiently administered incentives.
And these incentives are the fourth and final block for building this trust infrastructure.
These incentives can be used to make breaking the fabric of the trust infrastructure very
costly to those who do so, which is fundamental to maintaining its integrity.
However, before these incentives can be administered, it is crucial to reiterate the
importance of ensuring that the first three blocks must be in place before this fourth can
achieve the goals of building trust and not creating predatory government and non-
government actors. Identity management must be centralised, layered on a properly
mapped location/addressing system and linked to all the ongoing behavioural data in the
country.
I believe that the various bodies that manage some form of identity data (NIMC, NCC, NIBSS,
etc.) should be unified under one commission or ministerial control. To this, I would also
include the National Population Commission as their mandate is important to the identity
management system. This new, powerful trust management body must be able to
harmonise and unify all existing identity data into the NIN framework as a first step. Every
BVN, Passport Number, Drivers License Number, Tax ID, CAC Number, Insurance Policy
Number, Birth Record, Death Record and so on must be linked to this NIN, such that while
these continue to function in their roles as identifiers within specific aspects of life in the
country, all these diverse repositories can be, and must be traceable to an identity with the
NIN framework. The technical backend linkages do not need more than 12 to 15 months to
carry out a well-planned project, with seriousness.
But not everyone is within the NIN framework currently. There are 98.7 million NINs, and
Nigeria’s population is estimated at well over 200 million. In addition, there are claims that
addresses on the NIN are either inaccurate, incomplete and/or inexact. It is why the
upcoming census is important. The census is the only exercise which, by design and
requirement, must reach every individual in the country, every nook and cranny of the
country. It, therefore, presents a unique opportunity. The NPC seeks a humongous amount
of money for this census. With proper planning, Nigeria can get a much bigger bang for the
buck than a mere census. We can use it to solve the mapping problem and the challenge of
linking every identity within the NIN framework to properly mapped locations while
simultaneously capturing those yet to register into the NIN system.
Census enumerators should be equipped with mobile smart devices – perhaps the INEC
BVAS devices can be repurposed for this – so that as they go out into the field to enumerate,
they first attempt to validate the identity of whoever they are enumerating against the
current NIN database leveraging any of fingerprint, facial recognition or simply putting in
the NIN or registered phone number, the verification capabilities for which currently exist
with the NIN framework. If the person exists on the NIN database, all they will be required
to do should be to update their location using the newly designed location/addressing
framework and other such datasets (surname, for example). They should also take an
updated picture of the individual. This way, they link an existing identity to a real person in a
specific location, count that person and update the location of that person.
Crucially, this identity will include biometric data to ensure uniqueness. They should be able to issue small slips that will include the NIN number on the spot.
Where, however, such an individual does not exist on the NIN database, the enumerators
must enrol the person and then link them to that address and issue them the slip. The
secure system should be such that the NIN can be generated immediately and issued. This
way, the person is counted, and an identity created and linked to a location. The design
should be such that the devices can locally store data for a day to handle any network
failures, and they can sync with the central database when the enumerators return to their
base daily since the necessary power and network infrastructure can be included in these
bases.
At the end of the census exercise and the harmonisation exercise, we will have gone very far
in putting in place the first three building blocks, leaving only the incentives block. This block
can be planned in parallel while the census and harmonisation are ongoing. It will require a
plethora of experts across various fields, including education, financial services, social
sciences, civil service, and other points where citizen behaviour is carried out. The aim is to
look at the Nigerian and begin to design which interaction points in their daily living rewards
or penalties can be applied without force. Rather it will be more concerned with increasing
or reducing costs of accessing things or the ability or otherwise to access such things. It will
also prescribe the things government must put in place to encourage good behaviour – for
example, clear street signs – and the means to transparently capture behaviour (say, street
cameras or account statements), the frameworks for securing, sharing and protecting the
identity and behaviour data, and arbitration mechanisms for challenging penalties.
For example, people need to rent houses. This is a necessary and basic interaction. Today,
the cost of carrying out a rent transaction is high for both the tenant and the landlord.
Leveraging this design, we can improve things pretty remarkably. Landlords and agents
being required to carry out an ID check with licensed verification agents digitally on
potential tenants and include this in rental agreements can be instituted. Linking these rent
agreements to access to other services and leveraging the postal service to confirm such a
location update is done in the NIN identity management system as a one-off can then work.
This is one specific example, but the work the incentive design committee must do, push
through federal and local legislation and design sensitisation campaigns to educate the
public through the National Orientation Agency (NOA) will be crucial. Underpinning all these
is, of course, the government playing their part.
The conclusion is that without building this trust infrastructure, we will continue to struggle
with scaled commerce which can turbo-charge our economy. The upcoming census, the
previous work done with NIMC, NIBSS and others, and the advent of a new administration
which can tinker with the structure of institutions to align to deliver, presents a unique
opportunity to build this critical infrastructure. We cannot afford to miss it.
*Tunde Leye is a partner at SBM Intelligence
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